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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$193.2k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$196.9k
Last 30 days +$225.4k · $2.84M volume · 66 trades · since Aug 29, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$267.3k
Open P&L · 12 positions
−$144.0k
Closed-position win rate
90%
10 closed
Wallet age · markets
56d
37 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-22? AND Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-10-22? AND Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-22? AND Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-22? AND Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2026-10-22? | LOW BUY @ 12¢ | $19.2k | pending |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21? AND Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-21? AND Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-21? AND Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21? | LOW BUY @ 13¢ | $14.4k | pending |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-20? AND Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20? | LOW SELL @ 99.9¢ | $41.2k 2.1× usual |
pending |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $62.4k 3.1× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 32¢ | $20.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 48¢ | $11.1k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 79¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xa2a78b…