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wollao

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.2 wins, so it did +41.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+41.0 pts
Called / graded
2/2
Expected from price
1.2
Flagged volume
$58.6k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±34.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$22.3k
Last 30 days +$24.3k · $130.7k volume · 6 trades · since Oct 21, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$23.0k
Open P&L · 1 positions
−$600
Closed-position win rate
75%
4 closed
Wallet age · markets
3d
5 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Sports221.2+41.0 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee BrewersMED BUY Milwaukee Brewers @ 64¢ $15.0k64% 1d agocalled
Spread: Bears (-2.5)MED BUY Bears @ 54¢ $20.0k54% 2d agocalled
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-21?MED SELL Yes @ 79¢ $13.6k21% 3d agoexcluded
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?MED BUY Yes @ 39¢ $10.0k39% 3d agoexcluded

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xa97558…