← Live flags
Spread: Bears (-2.5)called
What this means. A wallet put $20.0k on Bears, at a price that gave it a 54% chance. It won. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spread: Bears (-2.5)called$20.0k
BUY Bears @ 54¢ · 37,037 shares
Size ≥ $10kFresh walletSports
What happened
Wallet wollao took Bears (buy) for $20.0k at an average 54¢. At that price the market implied a 54% chance for that side. The market resolved Bears, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $20.0k+0
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 54¢ means
54%chance the market gave
−117American odds
$1.00paid per share if Bears wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 54¢
- Implied odds
- 54.0%
- As American odds
- −117 no vig
- Size
- $20.0k
- Placed
- Oct 22, 16:52 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 22, 20:15 EDT
- Result
- Bears
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- wollao
- Tx
- 0x8b2318bd…
This wallet's graded record
2/2+41.0 pts
expected 1.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +46 ptsBears price · entry 54¢ · resolved Bears
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Bears (-2.5) | LOW BUY Bears @ 55¢ | $22.0k | excluded |
| Spread: Bears (-2.5) | LOW BUY Bears @ 55¢ | $24.8k | called |
| Spread: Bears (-2.5) | MED BUY Bears @ 54¢ | $34.2k | called |
| Spread: Bears (-2.5) | MED BUY Patriots @ 46¢ | $119.5k 2.5× usual |
missed |