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What this means. A wallet put $10.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 39% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.0k
BUY Yes @ 39¢ · 25,738 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Fresh walletSports
What happened
Wallet wollao took Yes (buy) for $10.0k at an average 39¢. At that price the market implied a 39% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $10.0k+0
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 39¢ means
39%chance the market gave
+157American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 39¢
- Implied odds
- 38.9%
- As American odds
- +157 no vig
- Size
- $10.0k
- Placed
- Oct 21, 15:09 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 21, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- wollao
- Tx
- 0x431ba014…
This wallet's graded record
2/2+41.0 pts
expected 1.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -39 ptsYes price · entry 39¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.4k | excluded |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21? | MED BUY No @ 81¢ | $45.7k 2.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21? | MED BUY Yes @ 72¢ | $38.4k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21? | LOW SELL Yes @ 71¢ | $12.2k | excluded |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21? | LOW BUY Yes @ 39¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21? | LOW BUY No @ 61¢ | $17.8k | excluded |