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afraz

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$358.4k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$17.7k
Last 30 days +$40.6k · $4.29M volume · 1,627 trades · since Aug 01, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
−$11.6k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
61%
321 closed
Wallet age · markets
83d
320 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?LOW SELL Yes @ 71¢ $12.2k29% 2d agoexcluded
Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?LOW SELL Yes @ 92.5¢ $22.5k7% 17d agoexcluded
Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?LOW BUY Yes @ 78¢ $40.0k78% 17d agoexcluded
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?LOW BUY Yes @ 73¢ $25.6k73% 33d agoexcluded
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?LOW SELL Yes @ 97.4¢ $22.6k3% 38d agoexcluded
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?LOW BUY Yes @ 82¢ $12.4k82% 38d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12?MED SELL Yes @ 80¢ $52.5k
2.3× usual
20% 41d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12?LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ $39.5k60% 41d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09?LOW SELL Yes @ 85¢ $12.3k15% 44d agoexcluded
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-09?LOW BUY Yes @ 56¢ $18.3k56% 44d agoexcluded
US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex MichelsenLOW BUY Alex Michelsen @ 85¢ $26.7k85% 45d agoexcluded
US Open ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Flavio CobolliLOW BUY Flavio Cobolli @ 80¢ $42.6k80% 52d agoexcluded
US Open ATP: Jaime Faria vs Jenson BrooksbyLOW SELL Jaime Faria @ 99.9¢ $16.3k0% 54d agoexcluded
US Open ATP: Jaime Faria vs Jenson BrooksbyLOW BUY Jaime Faria @ 91.3¢ $14.9k91% 54d agoexcluded

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