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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$358.4k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$17.7k
Last 30 days +$40.6k · $4.29M volume · 1,627 trades · since Aug 01, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$11.6k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
61%
321 closed
Wallet age · markets
83d
320 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Yes @ 71¢ | $12.2k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 92.5¢ | $22.5k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 78¢ | $40.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 73¢ | $25.6k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 97.4¢ | $22.6k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 82¢ | $12.4k | excluded | |
| MED SELL Yes @ 80¢ | $52.5k 2.3× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $39.5k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 85¢ | $12.3k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 56¢ | $18.3k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Alex Michelsen @ 85¢ | $26.7k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Flavio Cobolli @ 80¢ | $42.6k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Jaime Faria @ 99.9¢ | $16.3k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Jaime Faria @ 91.3¢ | $14.9k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xca6465…