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What this means. A wallet put $52.5k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 20% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$52.5k
SELL Yes @ 80¢ · 65,600 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)2.3× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet afraz took Yes (sell) for $52.5k at an average 80¢. At that price the market implied a 20% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $52.5k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 80¢
- Implied odds
- 19.9%
- As American odds
- +402 no vig
- Size
- $52.5k
- Placed
- Sep 12, 16:16 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 12, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- afraz
- Tx
- 0x41fe27fe…
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Entry to resolution
Grade -20 ptsYes price · entry 80¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $16.4k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12? | LOW BUY Yes @ 85¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12? | LOW BUY Yes @ 50¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12? | LOW BUY No @ 46¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12? | LOW BUY Yes @ 59¢ | $17.7k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12? | LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $39.5k | excluded |