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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.8 wins, so it did +25.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+25.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.8
Flagged volume
$450.7k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±43.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$222.9k
Last 30 days −$33.8k · $13.91M volume · 24,261 trades · since Jan 21, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$1.76M
Open P&L · 191 positions
−$1.60M
Closed-position win rate
94%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
276d
729 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | +25.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | LOW SELL Movistar KOI @ 99.9¢ | $15.6k | excluded |
 Spread: Lakers (-19.5) | LOW SELL Lakers @ 99.9¢ | $18.3k | excluded |
| Mavericks vs. Rockets: O/U 233.5 | LOW SELL Over @ 99.9¢ | $16.4k | excluded |
| Pacers vs. Pelicans: O/U 245.5 | LOW SELL Under @ 99.9¢ | $14.8k | excluded |
| Bucks vs. Wizards: O/U 252.5 | LOW SELL Under @ 99.9¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
 Como 1907 vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5 | LOW SELL Over @ 99.9¢ | $26.2k | excluded |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | LOW BUY Thunder @ 82¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
 Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12? | LOW BUY Yes @ 85¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | LOW SELL JD Gaming @ 99.9¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group | LOW BUY Dplus KIA @ 64¢ | $11.9k | excluded |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner | LOW SELL Dplus KIA @ 99.9¢ | $12.1k | excluded |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winner | LOW BUY Hanwha Life Esports @ 95¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
 Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5 | LOW SELL Over @ 99.9¢ | $12.6k | excluded |
| South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Canada @ 75¢ | $34.1k 2.5× usual |
called |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | MED BUY No @ 52¢ | $103.1k 7.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | LOW BUY Yes @ 93¢ | $26.0k | excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | LOW BUY Yes @ 84¢ | $11.7k | excluded |
| Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 60¢ | $54.8k 4.0× usual |
excluded |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI | LOW BUY Hanwha Life Esports @ 48¢ | $28.2k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.9k | excluded |
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