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What this means. A wallet put $10.5k on No, at a price that gave it a 46% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-3.4 pts over 28 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.5k
BUY No @ 46¢ · 22,642 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet sbsigner took No (buy) for $10.5k at an average 46¢. At that price the market implied a 46% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.5k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 46¢ means
46%chance the market gave
+115American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 46¢
- Implied odds
- 46.4%
- As American odds
- +115 no vig
- Size
- $10.5k
- Placed
- Sep 12, 15:25 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 12, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- sbsigner
- Tx
- 0xc9d4e614…
This wallet's graded record
11/28-3.4 pts
expected 11.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -46 ptsNo price · entry 46¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $16.4k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12? | LOW BUY Yes @ 85¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12? | MED SELL Yes @ 80¢ | $52.5k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12? | LOW BUY Yes @ 50¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12? | LOW BUY Yes @ 59¢ | $17.7k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12? | LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $39.5k | excluded |