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What this means. A wallet put $45.7k on No, at a price that gave it a 81% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 10 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$45.7k
BUY No @ 81¢ · 56,281 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)2.9× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet Flaznorp took No (buy) for $45.7k at an average 81¢. At that price the market implied a 81% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $45.7k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 81¢ means
81%chance the market gave
−433American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 81¢
- Implied odds
- 81.2%
- As American odds
- −433 no vig
- Size
- $45.7k
- Placed
- Oct 21, 16:42 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 21, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- Flaznorp
- Tx
- 0x67aa0953…
This wallet's graded record
9/10+8.2 pts
expected 8.2 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.4k | excluded |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21? | MED BUY Yes @ 72¢ | $38.4k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21? | LOW SELL Yes @ 71¢ | $12.2k | excluded |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21? | LOW BUY Yes @ 39¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21? | LOW BUY No @ 61¢ | $17.8k | excluded |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21? | LOW SELL Yes @ 20¢ | $10.1k | excluded |