← Wallets
+$5,859Under · avg 56¢ → 76¢ · $22.5k+$15.3kAshlyn Krueger · avg 26¢ → 80¢ · $22.5k−$6,066No · avg 66¢ → 49¢ · $17.5k−$1,439No · avg 61¢ → 56¢ · $15.0k+$231No · avg 63¢ → 64¢ · $9,984−$54RC Deportivo A Coruña · avg 83¢ → 82¢ · $8,849+$89Jacob Malkoun · avg 41¢ → 42¢ · $7,413+$607Under · avg 46¢ → 50¢ · $6,337
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.9 wins, so it did +7.5 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+7.5 pts
Called / graded
2/2
Expected from price
1.9
Flagged volume
$386.6k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±18.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$380.0k
Last 30 days +$503.5k · $398.13M volume · 1,338,936 trades · since Feb 15, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$17.35M
Open P&L · 500 positions
−$3.95M
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
251d
190828 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 2 | 1.9 | +7.5 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-10-23? | MED BUY No @ 57¢ | $53.5k 3.7× usual |
excluded |
| Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-10-23? | LOW BUY Yes @ 30¢ | $12.2k | excluded |
 AFC Bournemouth vs. AC Milan: O/U 0.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 94¢ | $11.0k | called |
 Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-10-21? | LOW BUY Yes @ 49¢ | $14.3k | excluded |
 Spread: FC Cincinnati (-1.5) | LOW BUY D.C. United SC @ 57¢ | $14.9k | excluded |
 Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-10-21? | LOW BUY No @ 97¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21? | LOW BUY No @ 61¢ | $17.8k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21? | LOW BUY No @ 66¢ | $13.5k | excluded |
| Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-21? | LOW BUY No @ 91¢ | $21.3k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21? | LOW BUY Yes @ 34¢ | $10.2k | missed |
| Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-21? | LOW BUY No @ 91¢ | $17.9k | called |
 Spread: Delaware (-3.5) | LOW BUY Missouri State @ 52¢ | $12.4k | excluded |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20? | LOW BUY No @ 79¢ | $26.0k | excluded |
| Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) | LOW BUY Paris Saint-Germain FC @ 77¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-20? | LOW BUY Yes @ 88¢ | $25.4k | excluded |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5 | LOW BUY Under @ 56¢ | $12.4k | excluded |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-20? | MED BUY Yes @ 85¢ | $61.2k 4.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14? | LOW BUY Yes @ 47¢ | $26.4k | missed |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14? | LOW BUY No @ 54¢ | $11.1k | called |
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