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What this means. A wallet put $12.2k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 30% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.2k
BUY Yes @ 30¢ · 40,738 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet UpTheBlues took Yes (buy) for $12.2k at an average 30¢. At that price the market implied a 30% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.2k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 30¢ means
30%chance the market gave
+233American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 30¢
- Implied odds
- 30.0%
- As American odds
- +233 no vig
- Size
- $12.2k
- Placed
- Oct 23, 14:58 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 23, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- UpTheBlues
- Tx
- 0x4d628d0c…
This wallet's graded record
2/2+7.5 pts
expected 1.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -30 ptsYes price · entry 30¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-10-23? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 30¢ | $138.8k 6.6× usual |
excluded |
| Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-10-23? | LOW BUY No @ 71¢ | $10.7k | excluded |
| Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-10-23? | LOW BUY No @ 70¢ | $11.5k | called |