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What this means. A wallet put $11.5k on No, at a price that gave it a 70% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+3.7 pts over 33 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.5k
BUY No @ 70¢ · 16,442 shares
Size ≥ $10kProven walletSports
What happened
Wallet Jsram took No (buy) for $11.5k at an average 70¢. At that price the market implied a 70% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.5k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 70¢ means
70%chance the market gave
−233American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 70¢
- Implied odds
- 70.0%
- As American odds
- −233 no vig
- Size
- $11.5k
- Placed
- Oct 23, 12:28 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 23, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Jsram
- Tx
- 0xaaa01a63…
This wallet's graded record
11/33+3.7 pts
expected 9.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +30 ptsNo price · entry 70¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 30¢ | $138.8k 6.4× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 30¢ | $12.2k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 71¢ | $10.7k | excluded |