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What this means. A wallet put $13.5k on No, at a price that gave it a 66% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?excluded
$13.5k
BUY No @ 66¢ · 20,447 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet UpTheBlues took No (buy) for $13.5k at an average 66¢. At that price the market implied a 66% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $13.5k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 66¢ means
66%chance the market gave
−194American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
66¢
Implied odds
66.0%
As American odds
−194 no vig
Size
$13.5k
Placed
Oct 21, 15:10 EDT
Market close
Oct 21, 15:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
UpTheBlues
Tx
0x91c1c09e…
This wallet's graded record
2/2+7.5 pts
expected 1.9 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +34 pts
No price · entry 66¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 66¢ · $13.5k WHALE $13.5K @ 66¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $24.5k0% Marcos.vher NEW2d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?MED BUY No @ 94.3¢ $17.1k94% bigbeliever NEW2d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?LOW SELL No @ 42¢ $10.2k58% MinevaJ2d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?LOW BUY No @ 66¢ $17.7k66% 0x2c33…05632d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?LOW BUY Yes @ 34¢ $17.7k34% Jokerxing72d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?MED BUY No @ 67¢ $16.4k67% Marcos.vher NEW2d agoexcluded