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bigbeliever

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?+$75Yes · avg 80¢ → 80¢ · $18.2k

Open bets: who else is there

Other rated wallets holding the same side, or the other side, of this wallet's open bets.

None of its 1 open bets has a proven or losing wallet on either side yet.

Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$68.5k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$1,941
Last 30 days −$80 · $77.9k volume · 4 trades · since Oct 21, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$1,934
Open P&L · 1 positions
+$75
Closed-position win rate
100%
2 closed
Wallet age · markets
3d
3 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?MED BUY Yes @ 80¢ $18.1k80% 2d agopending
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?MED BUY No @ 94.3¢ $17.1k94% 2d agoexcluded
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21?MED SELL Yes @ 93¢ $17.2k7% 2d agoexcluded
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21?MED BUY Yes @ 87¢ $16.1k87% 2d agoexcluded

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x73d049…