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What this means. A wallet put $17.1k on No, at a price that gave it a 94% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$17.1k
BUY No @ 94.3¢ · 18,137 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Fresh walletSports
What happened
Wallet bigbeliever took No (buy) for $17.1k at an average 94.3¢. At that price the market implied a 94% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $17.1k+0
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 94¢ means
94%chance the market gave
−1658American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 94.3¢
- Implied odds
- 94.3%
- As American odds
- −1658 no vig
- Size
- $17.1k
- Placed
- Oct 21, 16:19 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 21, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- bigbeliever
- Tx
- 0x7cf27ca0…
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +6 ptsNo price · entry 94.3¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $24.5k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21? | LOW SELL No @ 42¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21? | LOW BUY No @ 66¢ | $13.5k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21? | LOW BUY No @ 66¢ | $17.7k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21? | LOW BUY Yes @ 34¢ | $17.7k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21? | MED BUY No @ 67¢ | $16.4k | excluded |