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What this means. A wallet put $53.5k on No, at a price that gave it a 57% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$53.5k
BUY No @ 57¢ · 93,818 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)4× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet UpTheBlues took No (buy) for $53.5k at an average 57¢. At that price the market implied a 57% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $53.5k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 57¢ means
57%chance the market gave
−133American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 57¢
- Implied odds
- 57.0%
- As American odds
- −133 no vig
- Size
- $53.5k
- Placed
- Oct 23, 14:58 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 23, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- UpTheBlues
- Tx
- 0xe5dc954e…
This wallet's graded record
2/2+7.5 pts
expected 1.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +43 ptsNo price · entry 57¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Same game on Kalshi
Kalshi is a separate US exchange for the same kind of yes/no prices. These are large trades or sudden odds moves we flagged there on this same game. Kalshi's trade tape has no account id. A public nickname shows on the Kalshi flag when the social feed names that side.
| YES Over 2.5 goals scored | $40.2k | 55¢ | 1d ago |