← Live flags
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?
Resolved: No
Flags
19
Net whale flow → Yes
−$590.8k
Yes 7d ago → now
48¢→0¢
Category
Sports
Yes price
Drag to scrub · tap a dot for the trade · ● called ● missed ● pending ● excluded · times ET · what these mean
Live on this marketconnecting…
Loading the latest $10k+ trades from Polymarket…
Straight from Polymarket's public trade feed, refreshed every 10s while this tab is open. Grades appear after markets resolve. Information, not advice.
Who's on each side
Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.
| Side | All whales | Proven | Losing |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | $683.2k 9 flags |
$32.8k 1 wallet |
none |
| Yes | $92.3k 6 flags |
none | none |
| Not No | $22.3k 2 flags |
none | none |
| Not Yes | $22.3k 2 flags |
none | none |
A proven wallet on a side is a reason to look closer, not a verdict. Records come from past bets; see how to use this. Information, not advice.
Flags on this market
| Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.4k | excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 81¢ | $45.7k 2.9× usual |
excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 72¢ | $38.4k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 71¢ | $12.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 39¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 61¢ | $17.8k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 20¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 78¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 69¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 39¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 60¢ | $115.8k 4.9× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 41¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 60¢ | $150.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 55¢ | $40.4k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 46¢ | $10.0k | missed |
| MED BUY No @ 53¢ | $110.7k 2.7× usual |
called |
| MED BUY No @ 53¢ | $158.8k | called |
| MED BUY No @ 53¢ | $32.8k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 48¢ | $10.0k | missed |
Summary
WhaleGrader has logged 19 whale trades on this market totalling $820.0k from 16 wallets. The largest was $158.8k (buy No at 53¢). Most whale money ($683.2k) went to No. 11 of 19 graded flags here called the outcome. The biggest whale here, Takon88 ($158.8k), has called 1 of 2 graded flags overall (-3.1 pts vs price).
Market data from Polymarket (ucl-bay-ars-2026-10-21-bay).