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What this means. A wallet put $32.8k on No, at a price that gave it a 53% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+11.3 pts over 67 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$32.8k
BUY No @ 53¢ · 61,911 shares
Size ≥ $10kProven walletSports
What happened
Wallet omnibus-076daa took No (buy) for $32.8k at an average 53¢. At that price the market implied a 53% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $32.8k+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 53¢ means
53%chance the market gave
−113American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 53¢
- Implied odds
- 53.0%
- As American odds
- −113 no vig
- Size
- $32.8k
- Placed
- Oct 20, 21:44 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 21, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- omnibus-076daa
- Tx
- 0x7ebd5389…
This wallet's graded record
39/67+11.3 pts
expected 31.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +47 ptsNo price · entry 53¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.4k | excluded |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21? | MED BUY No @ 81¢ | $45.7k 2.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21? | MED BUY Yes @ 72¢ | $38.4k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21? | LOW SELL Yes @ 71¢ | $12.2k | excluded |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21? | LOW BUY Yes @ 39¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21? | LOW BUY No @ 61¢ | $17.8k | excluded |