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crisp1973

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.1 wins, so it did +47.5 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will KVC Westerlo win on 2026-10-24?+$970No · avg 49¢ → 51¢ · $26.8k

Open bets: who else is there

Other rated wallets holding the same side, or the other side, of this wallet's open bets.

None of its 1 open bets has a proven or losing wallet on either side yet.

Price-adjusted edge
+47.5 pts
Called / graded
2/2
Expected from price
1.1
Flagged volume
$143.1k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±35.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$487.3k
Last 30 days −$20.8k · $7.18M volume · 10,514 trades · since Aug 04, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$1.49M
Open P&L · 77 positions
−$1.95M
Closed-position win rate
99%
73 closed
Wallet age · markets
81d
149 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Sports221.1+47.5 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will KVC Westerlo win on 2026-10-24?LOW BUY No @ 49¢ $10.2k49% 1h agopending
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-10-24?LOW BUY No @ 53¢ $30.9k53% 6h agoexcluded
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-10-22?LOW BUY Yes @ 50¢ $13.2k50% 2d agocalled
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)LOW BUY RB Leipzig @ 61¢ $29.3k61% 3d agoexcluded
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)LOW BUY Sporting CP @ 53¢ $19.1k53% 3d agoexcluded
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?LOW BUY No @ 55¢ $40.4k55% 3d agocalled

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xde3131…