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What this means. A wallet put $115.8k on No, at a price that gave it a 60% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$115.8k
BUY No @ 60¢ · 192,959 shares
Size ≥ $100kLate (<1h before start)4.9× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet 0xb4f9…c9a7 took No (buy) for $115.8k at an average 60¢. At that price the market implied a 60% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $115.8k+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 60¢ means
60%chance the market gave
−150American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 60¢
- Implied odds
- 60.0%
- As American odds
- −150 no vig
- Size
- $115.8k
- Placed
- Oct 21, 14:51 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 21, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0xb4f9…c9a7
- Tx
- 0x23140de5…
This wallet's graded record
6/7+28.7 pts
expected 4.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +40 ptsNo price · entry 60¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.4k | excluded |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21? | MED BUY No @ 81¢ | $45.7k 2.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21? | MED BUY Yes @ 72¢ | $38.4k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21? | LOW SELL Yes @ 71¢ | $12.2k | excluded |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21? | LOW BUY Yes @ 39¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21? | LOW BUY No @ 61¢ | $17.8k | excluded |