← Wallets
−$490Yes · avg 14¢ → 14¢ · $13.2k
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.1 wins, so it did -3.1 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-3.1 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.1
Flagged volume
$226.6k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±35.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$200.4k
Last 30 days −$33.5k · $3.42M volume · 510 trades · since Sep 17, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$889.8k
Open P&L · 32 positions
−$677.0k
Closed-position win rate
98%
43 closed
Wallet age · markets
37d
74 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 1 | 1.1 | -3.1 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21? | MED BUY No @ 53¢ | $158.8k | called |
 Will France win on 2026-09-28? | MED BUY No @ 53¢ | $67.8k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xa96274…