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What this means. A wallet put $36.4k on Magic, at a price that gave it a 38% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 16 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Magic vs. RaptorsMissed
$36.4k
BUY Magic @ 38¢ · 95,789 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet jakepaulthegoat2008 took Magic (buy) for $36.4k at an average 38¢. At that price the market implied a 38% chance for that side. The market resolved Raptors, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $36.4k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 38¢ means
38%chance the market gave
+163American odds
$1.00paid per share if Magic wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 38¢
- Implied odds
- 38.0%
- As American odds
- +163 no vig
- Size
- $36.4k
- Placed
- Oct 28, 13:49 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 28, 19:30 EDT
- Result
- Raptors
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- jakepaulthegoat2008
- Tx
- 0xb6aeae06…
This wallet's graded record
9/16+0.7 pts
expected 8.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -38 ptsMagic price · entry 38¢ · resolved Raptors
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
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Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules