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What this means. A wallet put $19.0k on not No, at a price that gave it a 5% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$19.0k
SELL No @ 94.9¢ · 20,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEconomy
What happened
Wallet themagicofcinema took No (sell) for $19.0k at an average 94.9¢. At that price the market implied a 5% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $19.0k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 94.9¢
- Implied odds
- 5.1%
- Size
- $19.0k
- Placed
- Oct 28, 10:50 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 28, 16:01 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- themagicofcinema
- Tx
- 0x1a977c99…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-5.1 pts
expected 0.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -5 ptsNo price · entry 94.9¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Related news
Same names, last 7 daysFederal Reserve issues FOMC statementFederal Reserve · 16h agoFed holds interest rates steady even as inflation remains stubbornNPR · 16h ago
Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $114.1k | Excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 97.4¢ | $175.3k | Excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 96.6¢ | $69.7k | Called |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 95.8¢ | $11.9k | Called |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 95¢ | $19.5k | Missed |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 95.3¢ | $49.1k | Called |