WhaleGrader
Log inSign up
← Live flags

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

pending?Alert me on this market
Flags
8
Net whale flow → Yes
−$157.6k
Yes 7d ago → now
14¢→6.5¢
Category
Economy

Yes price

Drag to scrub · tap a dot for the trade · ● called ● missed ● pending ● excluded · times ET · what these mean
Live on this marketconnecting…
Loading the latest $10k+ trades from Polymarket…
Straight from Polymarket's public trade feed, refreshed every 10s while this tab is open. Grades appear after markets resolve. Information, not advice.
Smart gap
Proven money leans Yes at 6.5¢
Among the biggest holders: 1 proven wallet hold $87.3k of Yes; proven money on the other side $50.5k, losing-record money there $0. Net +$36.7k.
Based on 3 rated wallets among the top holders. A lean, not a prediction. Information, not advice.

Biggest holders right now

Top current positions on each side from Polymarket, with our track record for each wallet. Proven = beat the price over 20+ graded $10k+ bets; losing = clearly lost to it. Untagged = no graded record with us.

Yes 6.5¢1 proven · $87.3k
  1. jsmythyson$100.5k
  2. Erasmus. PROVEN +13.4 pts$87.3k
  3. TheReturnOfDarthMaul$30.8k
  4. MysticFind$23.7k
  5. Dreamlawn$17.5k
  6. foodenjoyer$15.7k
  7. CDAP1$7,938
  8. wan123$6,321
  9. TheyAreTakingTheHobitsToIsengard$5,899
  10. TheFOMCGambler$5,482
  11. QMG-CORE$5,298
  12. noreasapa$5,200
No 93.5¢2 proven · $50.5k
  1. 0xa5ef…2966$5.61M
  2. End123$41.6k
  3. nigiri99 PROVEN +7.5 pts$36.5k
  4. rebotsliaf$20.8k
  5. b3908$17.3k
  6. pilimili$16.8k
  7. ArmageddonRewardsBilly PROVEN +2.3 pts$14.0k
  8. Albedo00$11.7k
  9. Charles0987$11.2k
  10. kinderSman$10.3k
  11. lissartter$9,579
  12. S55$7,480

Value = shares × current price. Refreshed every minute. Holding a side isn't a recommendation. Information, not advice.

Who's on each side

Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.

SideAll whalesProvenLosing
No$159.6k
6 flags
 none none
Yes$13.0k
1 flag
 none none
Not Yes$11.0k
1 flag
 none none

No rated wallets have traded here yet, so the whale money is unrated. Information, not advice.

Flags on this market

FlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
LOW BUY No @ 93¢ $29.0k93% welcometowinnercircle10h agopending
LOW BUY No @ 93¢ $56.2k
2.7× usual
93% MysticFind10h agopending
LOW BUY No @ 94¢ $17.4k94% b39081d agopending
LOW BUY No @ 92¢ $25.9k92% arjennnnn1d agopending
LOW SELL Yes @ 11¢ $11.0k89% MysticFind1d agopending
LOW BUY No @ 89¢ $17.8k89% MysticFind1d agopending
LOW BUY Yes @ 13¢ $13.0k13% wan1232d agopending
LOW BUY No @ 89¢ $13.3k89% allenzzz2d agopending
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?pending
BUY No @ 93¢$29.0k
LOW welcometowinnercircle · 10h ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?pending
BUY No @ 93¢$56.2k
LOW MysticFind · 10h ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?pending
BUY No @ 94¢$17.4k
LOW b3908 · 1d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?pending
BUY No @ 92¢$25.9k
LOW arjennnnn · 1d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?pending
SELL Yes @ 11¢$11.0k
LOW MysticFind · 1d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?pending
BUY No @ 89¢$17.8k
LOW MysticFind · 1d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?pending
BUY Yes @ 13¢$13.0k
LOW wan123 · 2d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?pending
BUY No @ 89¢$13.3k
LOW allenzzz · 2d ago

Summary

WhaleGrader has logged 8 whale trades on this market totalling $183.6k from 6 wallets. The largest was $56.2k (buy No at 93¢). Most whale money ($159.6k) went to No. The market has not resolved yet, so no flags here are graded. The biggest whale here, MysticFind ($85.0k), has called 1 of 2 graded flags overall (-7.3 pts vs price).

Market data from Polymarket (will-the-fed-increase-interest-rates-by-25-bps-after-the-october-2026-meeting-20260617190324032).