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What this means. A wallet put $56.2k on No, at a price that gave it a 93% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$56.2k
BUY No @ 93¢ · 60,396 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)2.7× this wallet's usual betEconomy
What happened
Wallet MysticFind took No (buy) for $56.2k at an average 93¢. At that price the market implied a 93% chance for that side. Pending: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $56.2k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 93¢ means
93%chance the market gave
−1329American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 93¢
- Implied odds
- 93.0%
- Size
- $56.2k
- Placed
- Oct 23, 16:55 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 28, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- not settled yet
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- MysticFind
- Tx
- 0xdec23b8d…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-7.3 pts
expected 1.1 from price
Share this receipt
Price since this bet
Since entry +1.5 ptsNo price · entry 93¢ · now 94.5¢
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 94¢ | $172.2k 3.4× usual |
pending |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 94¢ | $18.8k | pending |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 94¢ | $47.0k | pending |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 93¢ | $29.0k | pending |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 94¢ | $17.4k | pending |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 92¢ | $25.9k | pending |
Same event on Kalshi
Kalshi is a separate US exchange for the same kind of yes/no prices. These are large trades or sudden odds moves we flagged there on this same event, which can be on a different answer than this bet. Kalshi doesn't show who traded.
| YES Fed maintains rate | $53.1k | 93¢ | 3h ago |
| YES Fed maintains rate | $57.4k | 93¢ | 1d ago |
| YES Fed maintains rate | $27.0k | 90¢ | 2d ago |
| NO Hike 25bps | $18.9k | 89¢ | 2d ago |
| YES Fed maintains rate | $44.5k | 89¢ | 2d ago |