← Wallets
+$73.6kNo · avg 50¢ → 79¢ · $198.6k−$73.6kYes · avg 50¢ → 21¢ · $51.4k−$69.1kYes · avg 24¢ → 5.5¢ · $20.0k−$1,640No · avg 7.5¢ → 5.5¢ · $4,480 · 0 proven with, 1 against
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.1 wins, so it did -7.3 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Open bets: who else is there
Other rated wallets holding the same side, or the other side, of this wallet's open bets.
Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Same side: 1 proven · 0 losing Other side: 1 proven · 0 losing
No · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Same side: 0 proven · 0 losing Other side: 1 proven · 0 losing
Price-adjusted edge
-7.3 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.1
Flagged volume
$1.32M
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±21.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$298.0k
Last 30 days +$52.6k · $23.74M volume · 14,307 trades · since Jan 06, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$34.4k
Open P&L · 5 positions
−$81.2k
Closed-position win rate
52%
124 closed
Wallet age · markets
292d
79 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economy | 1 | 0 | 0.2 | -18.0 pts |
| Other | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | +3.5 pts |
History
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x7cf935…