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+$159.3kYes · avg 56¢ → 93.5¢ · $402.1k · 1 proven with, 0 against+$105Yes · avg 96.6¢ → 97.7¢ · $9,295+$44G2 Esports · avg 81¢ → 82¢ · $7,244+$22No · avg 97.6¢ → 98¢ · $4,902+$37No · avg 93¢ → 93.8¢ · $4,687+$38Yes · avg 78¢ → 79¢ · $2,528−$487Yes · avg 92.7¢ → 77¢ · $2,478+$4No · avg 85¢ → 86¢ · $617
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.1 wins, so it did -9.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Open bets: who else is there
Other rated wallets holding the same side, or the other side, of this wallet's open bets.
Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Same side: 1 proven · 0 losing Other side: 1 proven · 0 losing
Price-adjusted edge
-9.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.1
Flagged volume
$817.1k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±28.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$35.6k
Last 30 days −$1,229 · $13.89M volume · 12,802 trades · since Jan 07, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$408.6k
Open P&L · 105 positions
+$117.4k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
655d
1272 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | -9.0 pts |
History
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