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What this means. A wallet put $13.6k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 96% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$13.6k
BUY Yes @ 95.7¢ · 14,170 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteOther
What happened
Wallet arjennnnn took Yes (buy) for $13.6k at an average 95.7¢. At that price the market implied a 96% chance for that side. Pending: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 96¢ means
96%chance the market gave
−2225American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 95.7¢
- Implied odds
- 95.7%
- Size
- $13.6k
- Placed
- Oct 22, 10:12 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 22, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- not settled yet
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- arjennnnn
- Tx
- 0x040ee0f5…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-9.0 pts
expected 0.1 from price
Share this receipt
Price since this bet
Since entry +4.1 ptsYes price · entry 95.7¢ · now 99.8¢
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $37.8k | pending |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ | $30.5k | pending |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | LOW BUY Yes @ 98.6¢ | $27.4k | pending |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | LOW BUY Yes @ 96.2¢ | $26.5k | pending |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | LOW BUY Yes @ 94.8¢ | $20.0k | pending |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | LOW BUY Yes @ 93.5¢ | $25.0k | pending |