← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $30.5k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$30.5k
BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ · 30,608 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet scout took Yes (buy) for $30.5k at an average 99.7¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. Pending: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $30.5k+1
Near-certain price-2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.7¢
- Implied odds
- 99.7%
- Size
- $30.5k
- Placed
- Oct 24, 16:04 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 22, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- not settled yet
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- scout
- Tx
- 0x1db2b886…
This wallet's graded record
4/4+4.8 pts
expected 3.8 from price
Share this receipt
Price since this bet
Since entry +0.0 ptsYes price · entry 99.7¢ · now 99.7¢
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $37.8k | pending |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | LOW BUY Yes @ 98.6¢ | $27.4k | pending |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | LOW BUY Yes @ 96.2¢ | $26.5k | pending |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | LOW BUY Yes @ 95.7¢ | $13.6k | pending |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | LOW BUY Yes @ 94.8¢ | $20.0k | pending |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | LOW BUY Yes @ 93.5¢ | $25.0k | pending |