Kalshi · Economics · Large trade
Fed decision in Oct 2026?
Hike 25bps
Size
$18.9k
Side @ price
NO 89¢
When
Oct 22, 06:46 EDT
Grade
Pending ?
Market closes Oct 28, 13:59 EDT. Kalshi doesn't show who placed a trade.
What 89¢ means
89%chance the market gave
−809American odds
$1.00paid per share if “No” wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
Same event on Polymarket
Big Polymarket trades we flagged on this same event, which can be on a different answer than this one. Unlike Kalshi, Polymarket trades come from public wallets, so each one links to the trader's graded record.
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $99.8k 6.1× usual |
pending |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 94¢ | $18.8k | pending |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | MED BUY Yes @ 95¢ | $47.5k | pending |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | MED BUY Yes @ 94¢ | $210.9k 4.2× usual |
pending |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 94¢ | $172.2k 3.4× usual |
pending |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 94¢ | $18.8k | pending |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 94¢ | $47.0k | pending |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | MED BUY Yes @ 93¢ | $150.7k 6.8× usual |
pending |
Data from Kalshi's public API. Not affiliated with Kalshi. Data only, not financial advice.