← Wallets
+$285.7kNo · avg 50¢ → 79¢ · $770.7k+$32.5kYes · avg 79¢ → 93.5¢ · $207.7k · 1 proven with, 0 against−$285.7kYes · avg 50¢ → 21¢ · $199.3k−$8Chelsea FC · avg 96.8¢ → 96.8¢ · $15.7k−$10Arsenal FC · avg 97.2¢ → 97¢ · $5,497−$81No · avg 89¢ → 57¢ · $145
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Open bets: who else is there
Other rated wallets holding the same side, or the other side, of this wallet's open bets.
Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Same side: 1 proven · 0 losing Other side: 1 proven · 0 losing
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$316.8k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$26.4k
Last 30 days −$33.2k · $3.78M volume · 1,786 trades · since Jan 27, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$214.1k
Open P&L · 9 positions
+$3,451
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
270d
697 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 NC State vs. Stanford | LOW BUY Stanford @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | MED BUY Yes @ 93¢ | $150.7k 6.8× usual |
pending |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 93¢ | $13.4k | pending |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 93¢ | $29.0k | pending |
 Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5) | LOW BUY Borussia Mönchengladbach @ 99.9¢ | $15.6k | excluded |
 Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-21? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.7k | excluded |
 Cowboys vs. Packers | LOW BUY Packers @ 99.8¢ | $47.0k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99¢ | $40.2k | excluded |
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