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+$93No · avg 94¢ → 94.5¢ · $17.5k+$399Yes · avg 80¢ → 98¢ · $2,201+$0Yes · avg 82¢ → 83¢ · $124
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.8 wins, so it did +18.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Open bets: who else is there
Other rated wallets holding the same side, or the other side, of this wallet's open bets.
None of its 1 open bets has a proven or losing wallet on either side yet.
Price-adjusted edge
+18.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.8
Flagged volume
$116.1k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±38.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$40.7k
Last 30 days +$1,722 · $660.5k volume · 297 trades · since Feb 10, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$52.2k
Open P&L · 23 positions
−$11.9k
Closed-position win rate
93%
95 closed
Wallet age · markets
257d
114 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economy | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | +18.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 94¢ | $17.4k | pending |
 Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18? | LOW BUY Yes @ 91¢ | $15.2k | excluded |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 82¢ | $13.8k | called |
 Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09? | LOW BUY Yes @ 87¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
 Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Spain @ 92.5¢ | $12.3k | excluded |
| Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | LOW BUY England @ 99.6¢ | $17.9k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | LOW BUY Yes @ 94¢ | $12.5k | excluded |
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