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TheReturnOfDarthMaul

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 15 of 22. The prices it paid implied about 15.6 wins, so it did -2.9 pts worse than the market expected. That's no clear edge yet (-2.9 pts over 22 bets). Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?+$100.4kYes · avg 79¢ → 96.2¢ · $571.3kWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?+$7,673No · avg 90.4¢ → 94.8¢ · $169.0kWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?+$194No · avg 82¢ → 82¢ · $122.3kWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?−$227.2kYes · avg 59¢ → 20¢ · $120.9k · 0 proven with, 1 againstWill Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?−$17.5kNo · avg 87¢ → 74¢ · $103.9kWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?+$9,708Yes · avg 70¢ → 78¢ · $85.5k2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House−$7,743Yes · avg 28¢ → 26¢ · $79.9kWill SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?−$17.0kYes · avg 85¢ → 69¢ · $73.1k

Open bets: who else is there

Other rated wallets holding the same side, or the other side, of this wallet's open bets.

None of its 2 open bets has a proven or losing wallet on either side yet.

Price-adjusted edge
-2.9 pts
Called / graded
15/22
Expected from price
15.6
Flagged volume
$5.90M
Sample size22 graded
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±7.1 pts std. error.

Graded P&L at their stakes

−$96k
22 graded bets in the order they resolved · 15 won. Each step is one bet: win pays (1−price)/price × stake, loss costs the stake.
−$114k$0$18k
Past graded bets, not a prediction. Information, not advice.
Without their best bet
Leave out the single bet that helped most (US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? at 66¢) and the edge is -4.6 pts. If that falls apart, one bet made the record.
Calibration: won vs price paid
0–20¢
0% vs 16% · n=3
20–40¢
0% vs 26% · n=2
40–60¢
0% vs 42% · n=1
60–80¢
75% vs 74% · n=4
80–100¢
100% vs 94% · n=12
Bar = how often they won. White tick = what the price implied.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$1.30M
Last 30 days −$178.7k · $27.25M volume · 17,762 trades · since Feb 09, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$2.84M
Open P&L · 78 positions
−$254.7k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
256d
1216 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Sports211.6-32.1 pts
Economy1388.5-4.2 pts
Other765.4+7.9 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?LOW BUY No @ 95.8¢ $13.0k96% 1d agopending
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseLOW BUY Yes @ 28¢ $16.8k28% 3d agopending
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 88¢ $31.5k88% 37d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?MED BUY Yes @ 88¢ $174.4k
6.5× usual
88% 37d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 90¢ $45.0k90% 38d agocalled
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?MED BUY Yes @ 88¢ $132.5k
5.0× usual
88% 38d agocalled
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 87¢ $73.1k
2.7× usual
87% 38d agocalled
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 84¢ $16.5k84% 39d agocalled
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 82¢ $16.4k82% 39d agocalled
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 80¢ $80.0k
3.0× usual
80% 39d agocalled
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 79¢ $11.3k79% 39d agocalled
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 79¢ $17.4k79% 40d agocalled
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 79¢ $79.0k
3.0× usual
79% 40d agocalled
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?MED BUY Yes @ 78¢ $78.8k
2.9× usual
78% 40d agocalled
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?MED BUY Yes @ 79¢ $79.0k
3.0× usual
79% 40d agocalled
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 81¢ $78.7k
2.9× usual
81% 42d agocalled
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?MED BUY Yes @ 82¢ $107.2k
4.0× usual
82% 42d agocalled
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?MED BUY Yes @ 81¢ $100.0k
3.7× usual
81% 42d agocalled
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?MED BUY Yes @ 64¢ $54.4k
2.0× usual
64% 43d agocalled
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 64¢ $61.1k
2.3× usual
64% 43d agocalled
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 53¢ $31.3k53% 44d agocalled
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 54¢ $10.6k54% 44d agocalled
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?MED BUY Yes @ 56¢ $45.9k56% 51d agocalled
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 56¢ $12.9k56% 51d agocalled
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 57¢ $13.1k57% 53d agocalled
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?MED BUY Yes @ 53¢ $43.7k53% 53d agocalled
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?MED BUY Yes @ 51¢ $31.5k51% 56d agocalled
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?MED BUY Yes @ 49¢ $67.4k
2.5× usual
49% 56d agocalled
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 34¢ $16.6k34% 59d agocalled
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 33¢ $22.9k33% 59d agocalled
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 33¢ $14.0k33% 60d agocalled
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99¢ $989.6k
37.1× usual
99% 63d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 28¢ $11.0k28% 63d agocalled
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 28¢ $10.8k28% 64d agocalled
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢ $791.4k
29.6× usual
99% 64d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 98.6¢ $197.3k
7.4× usual
99% 65d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 25¢ $10.0k25% 67d agocalled
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 40¢ $17.8k40% 73d agocalled
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 40¢ $10.0k40% 73d agocalled
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 42¢ $13.0k42% 74d agocalled
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 38¢ $17.2k38% 74d agocalled
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 48¢ $11.4k48% 78d agocalled
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 46¢ $11.6k46% 79d agocalled
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 58¢ $11.8k58% 82d agocalled
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 57¢ $22.1k57% 84d agocalled
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 53¢ $13.2k53% 85d agocalled
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?MED BUY No @ 26¢ $27.3k26% 86d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 25¢ $13.0k25% 86d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?MED BUY Yes @ 24¢ $34.8k24% 86d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $199.6k
7.5× usual
0% 86d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 25¢ $15.2k25% 87d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?MED BUY No @ 27¢ $40.4k27% 88d agomissed
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?MED BUY Yes @ 27¢ $26.7k27% 88d agomissed
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 26¢ $10.2k26% 88d agomissed
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ $79.4k
3.0× usual
99% 92d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 96.4¢ $24.1k96% 97d agocalled
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 96.3¢ $11.9k96% 98d agocalled
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL Yes @ 15¢ $11.8k85% 105d agocalled
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL Yes @ 21¢ $12.5k79% 105d agomissed
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 96.2¢ $19.2k96% 106d agocalled
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 96.2¢ $96.2k
3.6× usual
96% 107d agocalled
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?MED BUY No @ 17¢ $26.7k17% 108d agomissed
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?MED BUY No @ 95.2¢ $123.9k
4.6× usual
95% 109d agocalled
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 12¢ $25.0k12% 109d agomissed
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?MED BUY No @ 11¢ $29.7k11% 109d agomissed
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?MED BUY No @ 10¢ $50.0k10% 112d agomissed
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 96.1¢ $42.9k96% 113d agocalled
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 11¢ $11.0k89% 113d agocalled
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?MED BUY No @ 22¢ $46.8k22% 114d agomissed
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 98.8¢ $29.6k99% 115d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 19¢ $20.9k19% 117d agomissed
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?MED BUY Yes @ 17¢ $39.8k17% 117d agomissed
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 18¢ $18.1k18% 119d agomissed
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 98.7¢ $88.8k
3.3× usual
99% 120d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 98.6¢ $98.6k
3.7× usual
99% 122d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 98.5¢ $49.9k98% 123d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.5¢ $39.3k100% 130d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ $99.6k
3.7× usual
100% 130d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 97.8¢ $14.6k98% 155d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 98¢ $47.6k98% 159d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?LOW BUY No @ 95¢ $19.0k95% 165d agocalled
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?MED SELL No @ 95¢ $28.5k5% 174d agomissed
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?LOW BUY No @ 95¢ $19.0k95% 176d agocalled
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?LOW BUY No @ 94¢ $14.1k94% 176d agocalled
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 93¢ $20.6k93% 176d agocalled
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 96¢ $13.6k96% 177d agocalled
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ $199.6k
7.5× usual
100% 177d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 98.5¢ $29.6k2% 179d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 88¢ $35.2k88% 183d agocalled
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 84¢ $10.9k84% 185d agocalled
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 66¢ $17.2k66% 185d agocalled
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?LOW BUY Yes @ 42¢ $10.5k42% 190d agomissed
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $199.8k
7.5× usual
100% 195d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?LOW BUY Yes @ 79¢ $10.2k79% 237d agocalled
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?MED BUY Yes @ 74¢ $33.4k74% 237d agocalled
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?pending
BUY No @ 95.8¢$13.0k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 1d ago
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D Housepending
BUY Yes @ 28¢$16.8k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 3d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY Yes @ 88¢$31.5k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 37d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY Yes @ 88¢$174.4k
MED TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 37d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?called
BUY Yes @ 90¢$45.0k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 38d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?called
BUY Yes @ 88¢$132.5k
MED TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 38d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?called
BUY Yes @ 87¢$73.1k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 38d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?called
BUY Yes @ 84¢$16.5k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 39d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?called
BUY No @ 82¢$16.4k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 39d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?called
BUY Yes @ 80¢$80.0k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 39d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?called
BUY Yes @ 79¢$11.3k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 39d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?called
BUY Yes @ 79¢$17.4k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 40d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?called
BUY Yes @ 79¢$79.0k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 40d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?called
BUY Yes @ 78¢$78.8k
MED TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 40d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?called
BUY Yes @ 79¢$79.0k
MED TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 40d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?called
BUY Yes @ 81¢$78.7k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 42d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?called
BUY Yes @ 82¢$107.2k
MED TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 42d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?called
BUY Yes @ 81¢$100.0k
MED TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 42d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?called
BUY Yes @ 64¢$54.4k
MED TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 43d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?called
BUY Yes @ 64¢$61.1k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 43d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?called
BUY Yes @ 53¢$31.3k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 44d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?called
BUY Yes @ 54¢$10.6k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 44d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?called
BUY Yes @ 56¢$45.9k
MED TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 51d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?called
BUY Yes @ 56¢$12.9k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 51d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?called
BUY Yes @ 57¢$13.1k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 53d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?called
BUY Yes @ 53¢$43.7k
MED TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 53d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?called
BUY Yes @ 51¢$31.5k
MED TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 56d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?called
BUY Yes @ 49¢$67.4k
MED TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 56d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?called
BUY Yes @ 34¢$16.6k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 59d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?called
BUY Yes @ 33¢$22.9k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 59d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?called
BUY Yes @ 33¢$14.0k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 60d ago
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 99¢$989.6k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 63d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?called
BUY Yes @ 28¢$11.0k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 63d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?called
BUY Yes @ 28¢$10.8k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 64d ago
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 98.9¢$791.4k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 64d ago
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 98.6¢$197.3k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 65d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?called
BUY Yes @ 25¢$10.0k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 67d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?called
BUY Yes @ 40¢$17.8k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 73d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?called
BUY Yes @ 40¢$10.0k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 73d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?called
BUY Yes @ 42¢$13.0k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 74d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?called
BUY Yes @ 38¢$17.2k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 74d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?called
BUY Yes @ 48¢$11.4k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 78d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?called
BUY Yes @ 46¢$11.6k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 79d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?called
BUY Yes @ 58¢$11.8k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 82d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?called
BUY Yes @ 57¢$22.1k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 84d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?called
BUY Yes @ 53¢$13.2k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 85d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 26¢$27.3k
MED TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 86d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY Yes @ 25¢$13.0k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 86d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY Yes @ 24¢$34.8k
MED TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 86d ago
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?excluded
SELL No @ 99.8¢$199.6k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 86d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 25¢$15.2k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 87d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?missed
BUY No @ 27¢$40.4k
MED TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 88d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?missed
BUY Yes @ 27¢$26.7k
MED TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 88d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?missed
BUY Yes @ 26¢$10.2k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 88d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 99.3¢$79.4k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 92d ago
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?called
BUY No @ 96.4¢$24.1k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 97d ago
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?called
BUY No @ 96.3¢$11.9k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 98d ago
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?called
SELL Yes @ 15¢$11.8k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 105d ago
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?missed
SELL Yes @ 21¢$12.5k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 105d ago
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?called
BUY No @ 96.2¢$19.2k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 106d ago
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?called
BUY No @ 96.2¢$96.2k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 107d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?missed
BUY No @ 17¢$26.7k
MED TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 108d ago
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?called
BUY No @ 95.2¢$123.9k
MED TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 109d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?missed
BUY Yes @ 12¢$25.0k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 109d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?missed
BUY No @ 11¢$29.7k
MED TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 109d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?missed
BUY No @ 10¢$50.0k
MED TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 112d ago
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?called
BUY No @ 96.1¢$42.9k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 113d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?called
SELL No @ 11¢$11.0k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 113d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?missed
BUY No @ 22¢$46.8k
MED TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 114d ago
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 98.8¢$29.6k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 115d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?missed
BUY No @ 19¢$20.9k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 117d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?missed
BUY Yes @ 17¢$39.8k
MED TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 117d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?missed
BUY Yes @ 18¢$18.1k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 119d ago
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 98.7¢$88.8k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 120d ago
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 98.6¢$98.6k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 122d ago
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 98.5¢$49.9k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 123d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.5¢$39.3k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 130d ago
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 99.6¢$99.6k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 130d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY Yes @ 97.8¢$14.6k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 155d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY Yes @ 98¢$47.6k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 159d ago
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?called
BUY No @ 95¢$19.0k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 165d ago
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?missed
SELL No @ 95¢$28.5k
MED TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 174d ago
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?called
BUY No @ 95¢$19.0k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 176d ago
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?called
BUY No @ 94¢$14.1k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 176d ago
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?called
BUY No @ 93¢$20.6k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 176d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?called
BUY Yes @ 96¢$13.6k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 177d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.8¢$199.6k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 177d ago
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?excluded
SELL No @ 98.5¢$29.6k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 179d ago
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?called
BUY No @ 88¢$35.2k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 183d ago
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?called
BUY No @ 84¢$10.9k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 185d ago
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?called
BUY Yes @ 66¢$17.2k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 185d ago
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?missed
BUY Yes @ 42¢$10.5k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 190d ago
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?excluded
BUY No @ 99.9¢$199.8k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 195d ago
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?called
BUY Yes @ 79¢$10.2k
LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 237d ago
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?called
BUY Yes @ 74¢$33.4k
MED TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 237d ago

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