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What this means. A wallet put $13.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 96% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-2.9 pts over 22 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?pending
$13.0k
BUY No @ 95.8¢ · 13,544 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet TheReturnOfDarthMaul took No (buy) for $13.0k at an average 95.8¢. At that price the market implied a 96% chance for that side. Pending: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $13.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 96¢ means
96%chance the market gave
−2279American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
95.8¢
Implied odds
95.8%
Size
$13.0k
Placed
Oct 22, 18:14 EDT
Market close
Dec 31, 23:59 EST
Result
not settled yet
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
TheReturnOfDarthMaul
Tx
0x0a1b2e60…
This wallet's graded record
15/22-2.9 pts
expected 15.6 from price

Price since this bet

Since entry +0.9 pts
No price · entry 95.8¢ · now 96.7¢
91¢95¢98¢ Whale entry 95.8¢ · $13.0k WHALE $13.0K @ 95.8¢ +1 PTS
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.