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Polymarket · Economy · one bet

Called
$11.9k

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

m00n bought No at 95.8¢. The price gave that side a 96% chance. 12,378 shares, Oct 28, 13:17 EDT.

What this means. A wallet put $11.9k on No, at a price that gave it a 96% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet m00n bought No for $11.9k at an average 95.8¢. At that price the market implied 96% for the side they took. The market resolved No, so this flag called. It still counts toward the score.

This wallet is 1 of 1 on graded bets, +4.2 pts versus the price. The sample is still short. Big is not the same as right.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $11.9k+0
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEconomy
What 96¢ means
96%chance the market gave
−2281American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

[04] Price

Entry to resolution

Entry to resolution

Grade +4 pts
No price · entry 95.8¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 95.8¢ · $11.9k WHALE $11.9K @ 95.8¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

[05]

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