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+$23Yes · avg 17¢ → 18¢ · $790
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 1.0 wins, so it did +4.2 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+4.2 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
1.0
Flagged volume
$11.9k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±20.1 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$26.0k
Last 30 days +$247 · $17.13M volume · 25,968 trades · since Feb 06, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$359.2k
Open P&L · 10 positions
−$18.3k
Closed-position win rate
62%
250 closed
Wallet age · markets
996d
218 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economy | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | +4.2 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 95.8¢ | $11.9k | Called |
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