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What this means. A wallet put $49.1k on No, at a price that gave it a 95% chance. It won. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$49.1k
BUY No @ 95.3¢ · 51,560 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hEconomy
What happened
Wallet timetowander took No (buy) for $49.1k at an average 95.3¢. At that price the market implied a 95% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $49.1k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 95¢ means
95%chance the market gave
−2038American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 95.3¢
- Implied odds
- 95.3%
- Size
- $49.1k
- Placed
- Oct 28, 10:03 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 28, 16:01 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- timetowander
- Tx
- 0xd5f0aba3…
This wallet's graded record
3/3+4.2 pts
expected 2.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +5 ptsNo price · entry 95.3¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Related news
Same names, last 7 daysFederal Reserve issues FOMC statementFederal Reserve · 16h agoFed holds interest rates steady even as inflation remains stubbornNPR · 16h ago
Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $114.1k | Excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 97.4¢ | $175.3k | Excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 96.6¢ | $69.7k | Called |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 95.8¢ | $11.9k | Called |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 94.9¢ | $19.0k | Missed |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 95¢ | $19.5k | Missed |