← Wallets
+$625Yes · avg 51¢ → 76¢ · $1,912
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 1.5 wins, so it did -18.2 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-18.2 pts
Called / graded
1/3
Expected from price
1.5
Flagged volume
$188.4k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±27.5 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$92.0k
Last 30 days +$1,032 · $12.84M volume · 8,065 trades · since Jun 22, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 444 closed
+$344.2k
Open P&L · 60 positions
−$241.9k
Closed-position win rate
61%
444 closed
Wallet age · markets
853d
475 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economy | 1 | 1 | 0.7 | +31.7 pts |
| Sports | 2 | 0 | 0.9 | -43.1 pts |
History
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