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Polymarket · Sports · one bet

Missed
$15.0k

Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)

ferrariChampions2026 bought Timberwolves at 48¢. The price gave that side a 48% chance. 31,218 shares, Oct 28, 18:31 EDT.

What this means. A wallet put $15.0k on Timberwolves, at a price that gave it a 48% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet ferrariChampions2026 bought Timberwolves for $15.0k at an average 48¢. At that price the market implied 48% for the side they took. The market resolved Warriors, so this flag missed. It still counts toward the score.

This wallet is 3 of 4 on graded bets, +20.8 pts versus the price. The sample is still short. Big is not the same as right.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $15.0k+0
Size ≥ $10kSports
What 48¢ means
48%chance the market gave
+108American odds
$1.00paid per share if Timberwolves wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

[04] Price

Entry to resolution

Entry to resolution

Grade -48 pts
Timberwolves price · entry 48¢ · resolved Warriors
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 48¢ · $15.0k WHALE $15.0K @ 48¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

[05]

Other flags on this market

Market page
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)LOW BUY Warriors @ 54¢ $12.5k54% 0x2c33…056313h agoExcluded
Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)LOW BUY Timberwolves @ 48¢ $14.4k48% 0x1b4d…e24614h agoExcluded
Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)MED BUY Warriors @ 53¢ $10.2k53% hewhodoesit NEW21h agoCalled