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Polymarket · Sports · one bet

Excluded
$12.5k

Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)

0x2c33…0563 bought Warriors at 54¢. The price gave that side a 54% chance. 23,070 shares, Oct 28, 20:06 EDT.

What this means. A wallet put $12.5k on Warriors, at a price that gave it a 54% chance. The market resolved Warriors, and this bet is not graded. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet 0x2c33…0563 bought Warriors for $12.5k at an average 54¢. At that price the market implied 54% for the side they took. The market resolved Warriors. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

This wallet is 2 of 4 on graded bets, +4.7 pts versus the price. The sample is still short. Big is not the same as right.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $12.5k+0
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What 54¢ means
54%chance the market gave
−117American odds
$1.00paid per share if Warriors wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

[04] Price

Entry to resolution

Entry to resolution

Grade +46 pts
Warriors price · entry 54¢ · resolved Warriors
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 54¢ · $12.5k WHALE $12.5K @ 54¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

[05]

Other flags on this market

Market page
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)LOW BUY Timberwolves @ 48¢ $14.4k48% 0x1b4d…e24613h agoExcluded
Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)LOW BUY Timberwolves @ 48¢ $15.0k48% ferrariChampions202614h agoMissed
Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)MED BUY Warriors @ 53¢ $10.2k53% hewhodoesit NEW20h agoCalled