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What this means. A wallet put $17.2k on Naomi Osaka, at a price that gave it a 80% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$17.2k
BUY Naomi Osaka @ 80¢ · 21,454 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet tennischamp took Naomi Osaka (buy) for $17.2k at an average 80¢. At that price the market implied a 80% chance for that side. The market resolved Mia Pohankova, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $17.2k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 80¢ means
80%chance the market gave
−400American odds
$1.00paid per share if Naomi Osaka wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 80¢
- Implied odds
- 80.0%
- As American odds
- −400 no vig
- Size
- $17.2k
- Placed
- Oct 28, 23:27 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 29, 01:45 EDT
- Result
- Mia Pohankova
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- tennischamp
- Tx
- 0xdc88ef1e…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-80.0 pts
expected 0.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -80 ptsNaomi Osaka price · entry 80¢ · resolved Mia Pohankova
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Related news
Same names, last 7 daysNaomi Osaka vs Mia Pohankova - Match WTA - Toray Pan Pacific Open Tennis 1970 - Round of 16 - tennismajors.comGoogle News · Google News · 1m agoOsaka knocked out in Pan Pacific Open 2nd round as Rybakina advancesToronto Star · Google News · 7m agoNaomi Osaka exits Tokyo after straight-sets defeat against Mia PohankovaTennis Tonic · Google News · 10m agoFormer world No. 1 Naomi Osaka vows to return stronger after Tokyo exitThe Straits Times · Google News · 15m ago
Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Pan Pacific Open: Naomi Osaka vs Mia Pohankova | LOW SELL Mia Pohankova @ 99.9¢ | $21.7k | Excluded |
| Pan Pacific Open: Naomi Osaka vs Mia Pohankova | HIGH Naomi Osaka DOWN -38.5 pts $26.8k whale money behind it | $341.3k 24h vol |
Excluded |
| Pan Pacific Open: Naomi Osaka vs Mia Pohankova | LOW BUY Mia Pohankova @ 58¢ | $16.8k | Excluded |
| Pan Pacific Open: Naomi Osaka vs Mia Pohankova | LOW BUY Mia Pohankova @ 46¢ | $10.0k | Excluded |
Same game on Kalshi
Kalshi is a separate US exchange for the same kind of yes/no prices. These are large trades or sudden odds moves we flagged there on this same game. Kalshi's trade tape has no account id. A public nickname shows on the Kalshi flag when the social feed names that side.
| NO Naomi Osaka odds move | $679.4k | 56¢ | 2h ago |
| YES Mia Pohankova odds move | $664.5k | 56¢ | 2h ago |