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thegreengem

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$3.44M
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$154.7k
Last 30 days +$679 · $31.78M volume · 13,748 trades · since Dec 12, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$191.8k
Open P&L · 2 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
90%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
316d
506 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?MED BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $562.5k
12.6× usual
100% 7d agoexcluded
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $1.14M
25.6× usual
100% 93d agoexcluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ $79.6k100% 144d agoexcluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $12.0k100% 144d agoexcluded
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?LOW BUY No @ 99¢ $24.8k99% 151d agoexcluded
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢ $10.7k99% 151d agoexcluded
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ $25.9k100% 173d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ $36.9k100% 176d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $204.6k
4.6× usual
100% 177d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ $19.9k0% 178d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?MED SELL No @ 99.7¢ $100.7k
2.3× usual
0% 178d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ $53.8k0% 178d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $21.0k100% 180d agoexcluded
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ $41.4k100% 190d agoexcluded
US forces enter Iran by April 30?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.2¢ $180.8k
4.0× usual
99% 199d agoexcluded
Netanyahu out by March 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $38.0k100% 205d agoexcluded
Government shutdown on Saturday?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $118.0k
2.6× usual
100% 251d agoexcluded
US government shutdown Saturday?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ $47.9k100% 263d agoexcluded
US government shutdown Saturday?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ $499.0k
11.2× usual
100% 264d agoexcluded
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ $50.6k0% 266d agoexcluded
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $107.9k
2.4× usual
100% 269d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 99¢ $27.3k99% 270d agoexcluded
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? LOW SELL No @ 97.6¢ $15.4k2% 288d agoexcluded
Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.3¢ $20.6k99% 294d agoexcluded

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