← Wallets
+$2Yes · avg 88¢ → 96.3¢ · $18
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 1.0 wins, so it did +4.5 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Open bets: who else is there
Other rated wallets holding the same side, or the other side, of this wallet's open bets.
None of its 1 open bets has a proven or losing wallet on either side yet.
Price-adjusted edge
+4.5 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
1.0
Flagged volume
$37.7k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±20.8 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$4,959
Last 30 days +$2,198 · $307.2k volume · 376 trades · since Jan 18, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$0
Open P&L · 1 positions
+$2
Closed-position win rate
—
0 closed
Wallet age · markets
649d
31 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economy | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | +4.5 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 95.5¢ | $18.8k | Called |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | LOW SELL No @ 94.6¢ | $18.8k | OpenResolves Dec 31 |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x0d31f1…