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Polymarket · Other · one bet

OpenResolves Dec 31
$18.8k

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Constantinus sold No at 94.6¢. Their side is the other outcome, which the price gave a 5% chance. 19,909 shares, Oct 28, 12:34 EDT.

Alert on this marketAlert on this wallet

Plain exchange link. No referral code.

What this means. A wallet put $18.8k on not No, at a price that gave it a 5% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet Constantinus sold No for $18.8k at an average 94.6¢. At that price the market implied 5% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.

This wallet is 1 of 1 on graded bets, +4.5 pts versus the price. The sample is still short. Big is not the same as right.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $18.8k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
[04] Price

Price since the bet

Price since this bet

Since entry -2.4 pts
No price · entry 94.6¢ · now 97¢ · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
90¢94¢98¢ Whale entry 94.6¢ · $18.8k WHALE $18.8K @ 94.6¢ -2 PTS
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days
Xi Jinping purges dozens of Chinese officials ahead of Taiwan deadlineAFR · Google News · 1h agoChina: Record number of purges mark political gathering as Xi Jinping emphasizes disciplinePlataforma Media · Google News · 8h agoXi Jinping Prunes the "Sick Trees" of the Communist PartyEl Mundo America · Google News · 9h agoXi Jinping elevates general who led purge of China’s militaryFinancial Times · Google News · 11h ago

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

[05]

Other flags on this market

Market page
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Xi Jinping out before 2027?LOW SELL No @ 96.8¢ $22.7k3% texture4h agoOpenResolves Dec 31
Xi Jinping out before 2027?LOW BUY No @ 97¢ $24.2k97% IGORS5h agoOpenResolves Dec 31
Xi Jinping out before 2027?OpenResolves Dec 31
SELL No @ 96.8¢$22.7k
LOW texture · 4h ago
Xi Jinping out before 2027?OpenResolves Dec 31
BUY No @ 97¢$24.2k
LOW IGORS · 5h ago