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Polymarket · Economy · one bet

Called
$18.8k

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Constantinus bought Yes at 95.5¢. The price gave that side a 95% chance. 19,736 shares, Oct 28, 12:36 EDT.

What this means. A wallet put $18.8k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 95% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet Constantinus bought Yes for $18.8k at an average 95.5¢. At that price the market implied 95% for the side they took. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called. It still counts toward the score.

This wallet is 1 of 1 on graded bets, +4.5 pts versus the price. The sample is still short. Big is not the same as right.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $18.8k+0
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEconomy
What 95¢ means
95%chance the market gave
−2103American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

[04] Price

Entry to resolution

Entry to resolution

Grade +5 pts
Yes price · entry 95.5¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 95.5¢ · $18.8k WHALE $18.8K @ 95.5¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

[05]

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