← Live flags
Polymarket · Economy · one bet
Missed
$28.7k
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
0x9e3e…f882 sold Yes at 94.7¢. Their side is the other outcome, which the price gave a 5% chance. 30,266 shares, Oct 28, 08:11 EDT.
What this means. A wallet put $28.7k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 5% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet
What happened
Wallet 0x9e3e…f882 sold Yes for $28.7k at an average 94.7¢. At that price the market implied 5% for the side they took. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed. It still counts toward the score.
This wallet is 0 of 2 on graded bets, -29.5 pts versus the price. The sample is still short. Big is not the same as right.
[02] Flag
Why it was flagged
Med. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology
Size $28.7k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2.3× this wallet's usual betEconomy
[04] Price
Entry to resolution
Entry to resolution
Grade -5 ptsYes price · entry 94.7¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Related news
Same names, last 7 daysFederal Reserve issues FOMC statementFederal Reserve · 20h agoFed holds interest rates steady even as inflation remains stubbornNPR · 20h ago
Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $56.2k | Excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.3k | Excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $51.2k | Excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $16.6k | Excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $26.1k | Excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $65.7k | Excluded |