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Polymarket · Sports · one bet

Missed
$44.2k

Warriors vs. Timberwolves

jakepaulthegoat2008 bought Timberwolves at 61¢. The price gave that side a 61% chance. 72,402 shares, Oct 28, 13:53 EDT.

What this means. A wallet put $44.2k on Timberwolves, at a price that gave it a 61% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 16 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet jakepaulthegoat2008 bought Timberwolves for $44.2k at an average 61¢. At that price the market implied 61% for the side they took. The market resolved Warriors, so this flag missed. It still counts toward the score.

This wallet is 9 of 16 on graded bets, +0.7 pts versus the price. The sample is still short. Big is not the same as right.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $44.2k+1
Size ≥ $10kSports
What 61¢ means
61%chance the market gave
−156American odds
$1.00paid per share if Timberwolves wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

[04] Price

Entry to resolution

Entry to resolution

Grade -61 pts
Timberwolves price · entry 61¢ · resolved Warriors
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 61¢ · $44.2k WHALE $44.2K @ 61¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

[05]

Other flags on this market

Market page
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Warriors vs. TimberwolvesLOW BUY Warriors @ 99.9¢ $15.6k100% winner87715h agoExcluded
Warriors vs. TimberwolvesLOW BUY Warriors @ 95¢ $40.7k
2.5× usual
95% 0x3mf379C47E653dafa1538415h agoExcluded
Warriors vs. TimberwolvesLOW BUY Timberwolves @ 57¢ $14.3k57% ethanaz17h agoExcluded
Warriors vs. TimberwolvesMED BUY Timberwolves @ 60¢ $28.4k60% KaneAnalytics17h agoExcluded
Warriors vs. TimberwolvesHIGH BUY Warriors @ 42¢ $353.8k42% googleplay17h agoExcluded
Warriors vs. TimberwolvesMED BUY Timberwolves @ 58¢ $155.7k
11.9× usual
58% mooseborzoii17h agoExcluded