← Wallets
+$296Houston · avg 47¢ → 48¢ · $28.1k+$913Ole Miss · avg 51¢ → 54¢ · $23.6k+$745Saints · avg 38¢ → 40¢ · $21.3k−$1,566No · avg 61¢ → 56¢ · $15.3k+$373Ole Miss · avg 40¢ → 42¢ · $12.7k+$116Iowa · avg 50¢ → 50¢ · $11.6k+$372Rizvan Kuniev · avg 45¢ → 46¢ · $9,412+$920Bengals · avg 47¢ → 52¢ · $8,779
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 6 of 11. The prices it paid implied about 6.0 wins, so it did -0.1 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 11 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Open bets: who else is there
Other rated wallets holding the same side, or the other side, of this wallet's open bets.
None of its 1 open bets has a proven or losing wallet on either side yet.
Price-adjusted edge
-0.1 pts
Called / graded
6/11
Expected from price
6.0
Flagged volume
$2.52M
Sample size11 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±14.7 pts std. error.
Graded P&L at their stakes
+$45k11 graded bets in the order they resolved · 6 won. Each step is one bet: win pays (1−price)/price × stake, loss costs the stake.
Past graded bets, not a prediction. Information, not advice.
Without their best bet
Leave out the single bet that helped most (Cowboys vs. Texans at 41¢) and the edge is -6.0 pts. If that falls apart, one bet made the record.
Calibration: won vs price paid
40–60¢
50% vs 50% · n=8
60–80¢
67% vs 67% · n=3
Bar = how often they won. White tick = what the price implied.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$1.28M
Last 30 days +$1.27M · $113.86M volume · 49,391 trades · since Sep 30, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$25.57M
Open P&L · 500 positions
−$6.48M
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
24d
1950 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 11 | 6 | 6.0 | -0.1 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Grizzlies vs. Warriors | LOW BUY Warriors @ 50¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
 Duke vs. Virginia | LOW BUY Virginia @ 57¢ | $22.9k | excluded |
| Spread: Warriors (-3.5) | MED BUY Warriors @ 52¢ | $74.8k 3.5× usual |
excluded |
| Duke vs. Virginia | MED BUY Duke @ 28¢ | $25.6k | excluded |
| Bulls vs. Bucks | LOW BUY Bucks @ 48¢ | $10.8k | excluded |
 Steelers vs. Saints | LOW BUY Saints @ 38¢ | $11.4k | pending |
| Clippers vs. Lakers | LOW BUY Lakers @ 76¢ | $11.5k | called |
| Grizzlies vs. Warriors | LOW BUY Warriors @ 60¢ | $21.2k | missed |
| Spread: Warriors (-3.5) | LOW BUY Warriors @ 52¢ | $10.5k | missed |
| Pelicans vs. Jazz | LOW BUY Pelicans @ 47¢ | $16.4k | missed |
| Patriots vs. Bears | MED BUY Bears @ 70¢ | $107.0k 4.9× usual |
excluded |
| Patriots vs. Bears | MED BUY Patriots @ 26¢ | $21.0k | excluded |
| Patriots vs. Bears | MED BUY Bears @ 72¢ | $97.9k 4.5× usual |
excluded |
| Patriots vs. Bears | MED BUY Patriots @ 33¢ | $25.8k | excluded |
| Cavaliers vs. 76ers | LOW BUY Cavaliers @ 44¢ | $21.4k | excluded |
| Spread: Clippers (-4.5) | LOW BUY Clippers @ 52¢ | $11.6k | excluded |
| New Mexico State vs. Sam Houston | LOW BUY Sam Houston @ 41¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| Bucks vs. Wizards | LOW BUY Wizards @ 63¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| Spread: Raptors (-10.5) | LOW BUY Raptors @ 50¢ | $30.7k | called |
| Kings vs. Clippers | MED BUY Clippers @ 64¢ | $51.1k 2.4× usual |
called |
| Spread: Nets (-1.5) | LOW BUY Hornets @ 52¢ | $11.6k | called |
| 76ers vs. Knicks | HIGH BUY 76ers @ 56¢ | $251.8k 11.6× usual |
excluded |
| 76ers vs. Knicks | LOW BUY Knicks @ 59¢ | $14.1k | excluded |
| Celtics vs. Pistons | LOW BUY Celtics @ 72¢ | $22.9k | excluded |
| Celtics vs. Pistons | LOW BUY Pistons @ 48¢ | $12.5k | excluded |
| Commanders vs. 49ers | LOW BUY 49ers @ 66¢ | $29.1k | excluded |
| Commanders vs. 49ers | LOW BUY Commanders @ 12¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| Commanders vs. 49ers | LOW BUY 49ers @ 84¢ | $18.4k | excluded |
| Cowboys vs. Packers | LOW BUY Packers @ 84¢ | $16.5k | excluded |
| Cowboys vs. Packers | LOW BUY Packers @ 58¢ | $21.9k | excluded |
| Cowboys vs. Packers | LOW BUY Cowboys @ 48¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
| Steelers vs. Buccaneers | LOW BUY Buccaneers @ 45¢ | $56.8k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Panthers vs. Eagles | LOW BUY Panthers @ 71¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
| Panthers vs. Eagles | LOW BUY Eagles @ 33¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| Texans vs. Jaguars | MED BUY Texans @ 67¢ | $88.3k 4.1× usual |
excluded |
| Texans vs. Jaguars | MED BUY Texans @ 58¢ | $46.6k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| Texans vs. Jaguars | MED BUY Jaguars @ 46¢ | $32.2k | excluded |
| Panthers vs. Eagles | LOW BUY Eagles @ 38¢ | $19.4k | missed |
| Seahawks vs. Broncos | LOW BUY Broncos @ 66¢ | $25.9k | excluded |
| Seahawks vs. Broncos | LOW BUY Seahawks @ 25¢ | $10.7k | excluded |
| Seahawks vs. Broncos | LOW BUY Broncos @ 79¢ | $41.0k | excluded |
| Seahawks vs. Broncos | LOW BUY Broncos @ 43¢ | $21.5k | excluded |
| Bills vs. Rams | LOW BUY Rams @ 52¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
| Bills vs. Rams | MED BUY Bills @ 66¢ | $28.8k | excluded |
| Bills vs. Rams | LOW BUY Rams @ 44¢ | $22.2k | excluded |
| Bills vs. Rams | LOW BUY Bills @ 54¢ | $12.9k | excluded |
| Bills vs. Rams | LOW BUY Bills @ 39¢ | $10.8k | excluded |
| Ravens vs. Falcons | LOW BUY Falcons @ 62¢ | $32.9k | excluded |
| Ravens vs. Falcons | MED BUY Falcons @ 61¢ | $120.3k 5.6× usual |
excluded |
| 49ers vs. Seahawks | LOW BUY 49ers @ 60¢ | $35.7k | excluded |
| 49ers vs. Seahawks | LOW BUY Seahawks @ 50¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| 49ers vs. Seahawks | LOW BUY Seahawks @ 55¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
| 49ers vs. Seahawks | LOW BUY 49ers @ 36¢ | $10.4k | excluded |
| Eagles vs. Jaguars | LOW BUY Eagles @ 48¢ | $13.9k | excluded |
 Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox | LOW BUY Chicago White Sox @ 73¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| Falcons vs. Saints | LOW BUY Falcons @ 85¢ | $21.2k | excluded |
| Falcons vs. Saints | LOW BUY Falcons @ 63¢ | $13.4k | excluded |
| Lions vs. Panthers | MED BUY Panthers @ 79¢ | $76.9k 3.5× usual |
excluded |
| Lions vs. Panthers | LOW BUY Panthers @ 53¢ | $22.1k | excluded |
| Lions vs. Panthers | LOW BUY Lions @ 66¢ | $12.4k | excluded |
| Broncos vs. 49ers | MED BUY 49ers @ 64¢ | $77.8k 3.6× usual |
excluded |
| Broncos vs. 49ers | MED BUY Broncos @ 40¢ | $32.6k | excluded |
| Broncos vs. 49ers | MED BUY 49ers @ 57¢ | $44.8k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Chiefs vs. Raiders | HIGH BUY Raiders @ 32¢ | $143.9k 6.6× usual |
excluded |
| Cardinals vs. Giants | MED BUY Giants @ 59¢ | $59.9k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
| Rams vs. Eagles | LOW BUY Rams @ 33¢ | $12.9k | excluded |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | LOW BUY Los Angeles Dodgers @ 59¢ | $39.7k | missed |
| Titans vs. Ravens | MED BUY Ravens @ 83¢ | $27.3k | excluded |
| Washington vs. USC | MED BUY USC @ 63¢ | $82.4k 3.8× usual |
excluded |
| Washington vs. USC | LOW BUY Washington @ 29¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
| Washington vs. USC | MED BUY USC @ 66¢ | $26.5k | excluded |
| Cardinals vs. Giants | MED BUY Giants @ 43¢ | $42.8k | called |
| Cowboys vs. Texans | LOW BUY Cowboys @ 41¢ | $22.3k | called |
| Steelers vs. Browns | LOW BUY Steelers @ 57¢ | $29.6k | missed |
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