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What this means. A wallet put $32.2k on Jaguars, at a price that gave it a 46% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 11 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Texans vs. Jaguarsexcluded
$32.2k
BUY Jaguars @ 46¢ · 70,566 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $10k3 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet mooseborzoii took Jaguars (buy) for $32.2k at an average 46¢. At that price the market implied a 46% chance for that side. The market resolved Texans. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $32.2k+1
3 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 46¢ means
46%chance the market gave
+119American odds
$1.00paid per share if Jaguars wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
46¢
Implied odds
45.6%
As American odds
+119 no vig
Size
$32.2k
Placed
Oct 18, 10:03 EDT
Market close
Oct 18, 09:30 EDT
Result
Texans
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
mooseborzoii
Tx
0xc756140e…
This wallet's graded record
6/11-0.1 pts
expected 6.0 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -46 pts
Jaguars price · entry 46¢ · resolved Texans
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 46¢ · $32.2k WHALE $32.2K @ 46¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Texans vs. JaguarsLOW SELL Texans @ 99.9¢ $61.6k0% gambamaster5d agoexcluded
Texans vs. JaguarsLOW SELL Texans @ 99.9¢ $24.7k0% Jittz5d agoexcluded
Texans vs. JaguarsMED SELL Texans @ 99.9¢ $88.7k0% 778908 NEW5d agoexcluded
Texans vs. JaguarsMED BUY Texans @ 80¢ $77.4k
4.1× usual
80% takeormake5d agoexcluded
Texans vs. JaguarsMED BUY Texans @ 89¢ $79.0k89% 778908 NEW5d agoexcluded
Texans vs. JaguarsLOW BUY Texans @ 88¢ $24.4k88% curie5d agoexcluded