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Bills vs. Ramsexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $10.8k on Bills, at a price that gave it a 39% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 11 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.8k
BUY Bills @ 39¢ · 27,793 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet mooseborzoii took Bills (buy) for $10.8k at an average 39¢. At that price the market implied a 39% chance for that side. The market resolved Bills. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.8k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 39¢ means
39%chance the market gave
+156American odds
$1.00paid per share if Bills wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 39¢
- Implied odds
- 39.0%
- As American odds
- +156 no vig
- Size
- $10.8k
- Placed
- Oct 12, 20:16 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 12, 20:15 EDT
- Result
- Bills
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- mooseborzoii
- Tx
- 0x87f983e6…
This wallet's graded record
6/11-0.1 pts
expected 6.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +61 ptsBills price · entry 39¢ · resolved Bills
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Bills @ 99.9¢ | $13.2k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Bills @ 99.9¢ | $16.5k | excluded | |
| MED SELL Bills @ 91¢ | $90.3k 4.0× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Rams @ 85¢ | $12.8k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Bills @ 47¢ | $12.3k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Rams @ 36¢ | $68.1k | excluded |